Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M5.5
9.5 miles North-East of Brown
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.5 miles North-East of Brown
35.8861°N, 117.7267°W
Forecast Time Window
24th of August 2026
Aug 24, 2026 03:07:26 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
2839h 8m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
23.9 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
19.1 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.55
Predicted M5.45 vs actual M3.9
- 0.55 over limit
Depth Error
13.0 km
Pred. 8.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
203af85058bc566ae3d3e2499e67001d2f0c128bde548688612d1d4c909243f3
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260427_125914_pred-35.89--117.73-20260824T0307
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 27, 2026 19:59:17 PST
Source Batch
20260427_125914_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:17.908988+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.