Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
5366.3 miles North-East of Mesquite
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5366.3 miles North-East of Mesquite
32.9713°N, 14.4306°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of April 2026
Apr 28, 2026 14:49:37 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
427.6 km
302.6 km over 125 km limit
Time Error
196.1 h
148.1 h over 48 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.62
Predicted M3.32 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
37.7 km
Pred. 6.2 km vs actual 31.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ee6482691f3998f076f50cc7d5ef94939027c3156c2ffc5e68eed2956ec791ae
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260428_171959_pred-32.97--14.43-20260428T1449
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Apr 29, 2026 00:20:02 PST
Source Batch
20260428_171959_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:48:04.688717+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.