Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
7.8 miles East of Weed Heights
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.8 miles East of Weed Heights
39.0118°N, 119.0147°W
Forecast Time Window
19th of June 2026
Jun 19, 2026 02:06:12 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1151h 40m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
110.6 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
33.1 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.23
Predicted M3.23 vs actual M3.0
Depth Error
15.3 km
Pred. 9.5 km vs actual 5.8 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
edd9e0dc506141b1e458737b4c91e2022324a0f881c6c58ba05741de1d3df607
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260501_192552_pred-39.01--119.01-20260619T0206
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 02, 2026 02:25:55 PST
Source Batch
20260501_192552_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:22.668540+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.