Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
26.2 miles West of Lovelock
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
26.2 miles West of Lovelock
40.3147°N, 118.9370°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of June 2026
Jun 29, 2026 01:33:23 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1356h 46m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
111.0 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
5.8 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.92
Predicted M3.42 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
11.5 km
Pred. 7.3 km vs actual 4.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
bbfa0f6f5518a3b259c6e64ae1784486de9f97cc0bbe4a0dbd82d1bdbecd291f
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260503_054621_pred-40.31--118.94-20260629T0133
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 03, 2026 12:46:24 PST
Source Batch
20260503_054621_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:12.883308+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.