Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
2.0 miles South of Westwood
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
2.0 miles South of Westwood
40.2750°N, 121.0019°W
Forecast Time Window
24th of August 2026
Aug 24, 2026 10:32:37 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
2470h 46m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
187.1 km
62.1 km over 125 km limit
Time Error
24.9 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.43
Predicted M3.23 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
24.5 km
Pred. 13.6 km vs actual 10.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
fa722b37433535c8f91c5909771beb9a0827126626c26fc1302e5c2e1e7f02be
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260513_044602_pred-40.27--121.00-20260824T1032
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 13, 2026 11:46:06 PST
Source Batch
20260513_044602_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:36.210613+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.