Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
38.7 miles North-West of Eureka NV
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
38.7 miles North-West of Eureka NV
39.8870°N, 116.5072°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of August 2026
Aug 28, 2026 17:25:07 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
2501h 57m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
221.8 km
96.8 km over 125 km limit
Time Error
4.0 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.53
Predicted M2.63 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
13.1 km
Pred. 6.5 km vs actual 6.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
5404ff86a9b8a67ade013b3517459bfb5b060ed2539eb1793172319f1c6f0900
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260516_042705_pred-39.89--116.51-20260828T1725
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 16, 2026 11:27:10 PST
Source Batch
20260516_042705_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:02.985747+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.