Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
12.4 miles North of Pine Mountain Club
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.4 miles North of Pine Mountain Club
35.0191°N, 119.1043°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of June 2026
Jun 01, 2026 07:53:50 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
322h 26m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
122.1 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
0.0 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.51
Predicted M2.61 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
10.8 km
Pred. 4.2 km vs actual 6.6 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
42d795a2084608caa3bedb2c4048b42d77f893628739ef35de79f043e76a0912
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260518_142709_pred-35.02--119.10-20260601T0753
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 18, 2026 21:27:15 PST
Source Batch
20260518_142709_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:43.925602+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.