Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
1.5 miles North-East of Marietta
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
1.5 miles North-East of Marietta
38.3976°N, 118.5300°W
Forecast Time Window
12th of June 2026
Jun 12, 2026 03:19:56 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
526h 49m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
113.9 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
8.9 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.13
Predicted M2.53 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
21.9 km
Pred. 13.3 km vs actual 8.7 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
212ccd4eb55580b3402dfa4de9112a8d4a9f9aa6f79a4ccce41c22652d026492
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260520_213031_pred-38.40--118.53-20260612T0319
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 21, 2026 04:30:37 PST
Source Batch
20260520_213031_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:34.458015+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.