Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
13.0 miles North of Pine Mountain Club
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.0 miles North of Pine Mountain Club
35.0285°N, 119.1077°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of June 2026
Jun 04, 2026 09:11:21 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
331h 24m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
123.0 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
14.1 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.09
Predicted M2.41 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
13.8 km
Pred. 8.2 km vs actual 5.6 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e8d62fe0f97d2d538cd6996441c1d3a40dca5e598fbbf27e774304e938ce6a49
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260521_064653_pred-35.03--119.11-20260604T0911
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 21, 2026 13:46:59 PST
Source Batch
20260521_064653_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:10.978154+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.