Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
28.0 miles North of Gabbs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
28.0 miles North of Gabbs
39.2692°N, 117.8213°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of June 2026
Jun 06, 2026 16:48:16 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
2.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
387h 1m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
110.7 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
29.9 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.03
Predicted M2.43 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
10.5 km
Pred. 2.3 km vs actual 8.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c6af2245224c4ccccde5786d7c9c11f5602fb83e03c08668bea72c7a8dbca70d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260521_064653_pred-39.27--117.82-20260606T1648
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 21, 2026 13:46:59 PST
Source Batch
20260521_064653_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:10.978154+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.