Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
16.4 miles South-West of Currant
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
16.4 miles South-West of Currant
38.5314°N, 115.6422°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of August 2026
Aug 25, 2026 19:55:01 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
2.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
2288h 55m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
239.3 km
114.3 km over 125 km limit
Time Error
0.2 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.07
Predicted M2.13 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
5.1 km
Pred. 2.0 km vs actual 3.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
fa17bd63a5051734637328991f769e3f3afa0725c5c873961747ee25737625b3
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_035903_pred-38.53--115.64-20260825T1955
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 10:59:09 PST
Source Batch
20260522_035903_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:04.115376+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.