Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
33.5 miles North of Beatty
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
33.5 miles North of Beatty
37.3884°N, 116.8317°W
Forecast Time Window
13th of June 2026
Jun 13, 2026 17:48:02 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
123.4 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
20.8 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.30
Predicted M2.2 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
18.2 km
Pred. 8.2 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
0ed8c90c582413ae22505d65e2ccf7508d4e2da34a9c168bb3cf0e8ff1cc28e0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260613_173246_pred-37.39--116.83-20260613T1748
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 14, 2026 00:32:49 PST
Source Batch
20260613_173246_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:38.760691+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.