Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
1.7 miles North-West of Woodlake
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
1.7 miles North-West of Woodlake
36.4251°N, 119.1275°W
Forecast Time Window
19th of June 2026
Jun 19, 2026 04:39:43 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
72h 3m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
103.0 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
24.7 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.14
Predicted M2.14 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
14.0 km
Pred. 10.4 km vs actual 3.6 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4f73de75baeef3ad27e740a823d98025926f95466bb2a825b106dff63d26adbb
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260615_213639_pred-36.43--119.13-20260619T0439
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 16, 2026 04:36:43 PST
Source Batch
20260615_213639_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:34.074123+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.