Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
10.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2776°N, 119.1189°W
Forecast Time Window
20th of June 2026
Jun 20, 2026 20:32:48 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
53h 59m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
104.1 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
31.9 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.75
Predicted M2.85 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
25.4 km
Pred. 15.1 km vs actual 10.3 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
5b8b1cebe2ce50f2f010f642711f3c1f80b258eeb7ebbcf562718d11c032710b
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260618_073309_pred-39.28--119.12-20260620T2032
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 18, 2026 14:33:14 PST
Source Batch
20260618_073309_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-24 08:32:44.851388+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.