Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
3.6 miles East of Culver City
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.6 miles East of Culver City
34.0277°N, 118.3350°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of July 2026
Jul 04, 2026 08:51:31 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
281h 35m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
117.7 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
15.3 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.41
Predicted M2.41 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
8.0 km
Pred. 4.3 km vs actual 3.7 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c2d81cbf48455ec35c72ddaf36cbc2d4ab507f302b6d0620bea46ca648daa100
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260622_081550_pred-34.03--118.33-20260704T0851
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 22, 2026 15:15:55 PST
Source Batch
20260622_081550_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-24 08:32:41.145978+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.