Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
9.0 miles East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.0 miles East of Silver Springs
39.3668°N, 119.0706°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of July 2026
Jul 10, 2026 05:11:44 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
323h 4m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
121.5 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
37.7 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.26
Predicted M2.36 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
18.7 km
Pred. 9.1 km vs actual 9.6 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
8e9f96856a4cab855c4b65a489eda39550c7ea432b4ccad40f0f76e45fd2bd32
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260626_110706_pred-39.37--119.07-20260710T0511
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 26, 2026 18:07:10 PST
Source Batch
20260626_110706_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-29 06:57:29.208479+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.