Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
12.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3041°N, 119.0407°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of July 2026
Jul 09, 2026 19:10:24 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
252h 18m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
114.6 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
47.7 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.22
Predicted M2.32 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
19.2 km
Pred. 9.6 km vs actual 9.6 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
a22051f9022aa19260392a7ed9161413a15f8df42f3f522e4197825a4413307b
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260628_235123_pred-39.30--119.04-20260709T1910
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 29, 2026 06:51:29 PST
Source Batch
20260628_235123_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-29 08:31:31.614729+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.