Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
11.3 miles North-East of Currant
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.3 miles North-East of Currant
38.8618°N, 115.3543°W
Forecast Time Window
23rd of July 2026
Jul 23, 2026 03:50:51 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
26.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
104.6 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
27.3 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.08 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
26.0 km
Pred. 26.0 km vs actual 0.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
f88ef7f658817d43ef1eeca1016620eb6659e571d3a6a4a770e6da16235abd46
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260722_101004_pred-38.86--115.35-20260723T0350
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 23, 2026 05:28:50 PST
Source Batch
20260722_101004_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-22 19:26:30.412694+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.