Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
16.0 miles South of Salton City
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
16.0 miles South of Salton City
33.0772°N, 115.8698°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of August 2026
Aug 28, 2026 10:09:16 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
652h 15m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
31.3 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
16.6 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.22
Predicted M3.62 vs actual M2.4
- 0.22 over limit
Depth Error
20.8 km
Pred. 9.9 km vs actual 10.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
a4f7009dfc95379c4ead5c1c53159101c2a8ae5ccc588acd647053eb795d85e3
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-33.08--115.87-t10346
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 01, 2026 05:54:02 PST
Source Batch
20260731_214050_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-01 02:23:45.708030+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.