Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
5.3 miles North of Westmorland
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.3 miles North of Westmorland
33.1138°N, 115.6181°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of August 2026
Aug 28, 2026 08:27:49 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
51h 9m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
32.8 km
Within 125 km tolerance
Time Error
18.3 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.72
Predicted M3.12 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
25.9 km
Pred. 15.0 km vs actual 10.9 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
d8452f7baaa030f2b98b4595ef394433d80e85fbf4772641c5339541d5976200
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-33.11--115.62-t10346
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 26, 2026 05:18:48 PST
Source Batch
20260826_060445_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-26 05:18:48.780489+00:00
Amendment History
run_tag
2026-08-26 05:18:48.316971+00:00
2026-08-26T14:53:12.962207+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
event_time
2026-08-28 08:27:49.564000+00:00
2026-08-28T08:27:49.564
"pipeline re-ingest"