Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.5
79.0 miles South-West of Lompoc
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
79.0 miles South-West of Lompoc
33.8026°N, 121.4019°W
Forecast Time Window
16th of July 2027
Jul 16, 2027 00:40:01 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.1 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
10.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
7924h 55m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
0c46059ec0932b48cfb5d070a78ae725a15ac7f9618b68ebc72458ce1fe70a6f
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-33.80--121.40-t10507
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 19, 2026 19:44:50 PST
Source Batch
20260829_031352_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-19 19:44:51.693350+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 20, 2026 01:17 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-19 19:44:50.656498+00:00 2026-08-20T08:17:02.330699+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 20, 2026 01:17 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-07-16 00:40:01.005000+00:00 2027-07-16T00:40:01.005
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 19:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-07-16 00:40:01.005000+00:00 2027-07-16T00:40:01.005
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 19:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-19 19:44:50.656498+00:00 2026-08-22T02:51:29.284577+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 03:41 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
depth_km 15.1421 6.54025
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 03:41 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-07-16 00:40:01.005000+00:00 2027-07-16T00:40:01.005
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 03:41 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-19 19:44:50.656498+00:00 2026-08-29T10:41:50.855421+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
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