Permanent Prediction Record
Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.4
82.1 miles South-West of Lompoc
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
82.1 miles South-West of Lompoc
34.0002°N, 121.6708°W
Forecast Time Window
16th of July 2027
Jul 16, 2027 00:40:01 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.6 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
10.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
7736h 35m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
4ec49d7f3d9c009ead2e5f86803a067c219603d8c46171c95646e4e76f491e1a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.00--121.67-t10507
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 27, 2026 16:04:28 PST
Source Batch
20260827_084056_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-06 03:53:30.040541+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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