Permanent Prediction Record
◯
Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M4.8
8.2 miles South-West of Twentynine Palms
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.2 miles South-West of Twentynine Palms
34.0614°N, 116.1650°W
Forecast Time Window
13th of October 2026
Oct 13, 2026 18:01:34 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.8
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.7 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
100.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1360h 9m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
e2984df365f1f5ca12f57ae9a41384abcc0e1411bc63c0d3f44c970ce31d6dbc
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-34.06--116.17-t10369
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 18, 2026 01:52:07 PST
Source Batch
20260828_034215_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-18 01:52:08.440284+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 22, 2026 17:44 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-23T00:44:09.780427+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 17:44 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-10-13 18:01:34.829000+00:00 2026-10-13T18:01:34.829
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 04:11 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
depth_km 13.7105 3.626
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 04:11 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-28T11:11:42.622022+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 04:11 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-10-13 18:01:34.829000+00:00 2026-10-13T18:01:34.829
"pipeline re-ingest"
View Track Record Live Predictions