Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M4.8
11.3 miles North-East of Landers
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.3 miles North-East of Landers
34.3330°N, 116.2272°W
Forecast Time Window
13th of October 2026
Oct 13, 2026 18:01:34 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.8
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.1 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
71.4
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1125h 31m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
96625b19392f74e421245c073764914237109df4fc58ebf9f2bb6ccf35149188
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.33--116.23-t10369
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 27, 2026 20:30:34 PST
Source Batch
20260827_130643_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-07 20:34:54.161848+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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