Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.3
4.6 miles North-East of Refugio
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4.6 miles North-East of Refugio
34.5176°N, 120.0273°W
Forecast Time Window
31st of August 2028
Aug 31, 2028 22:37:40 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.8 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
100.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
17627h 25m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
edeba6c5a0bc05c1520f1ac8eb9971f963709686b935dd0ec993c6eb3830834f
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-34.52--120.03-t10713
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 28, 2026 11:11:42 PST
Source Batch
20260828_034215_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-28 11:11:43.213695+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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