Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M4.7
16.3 miles South-West of Essex
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
16.3 miles South-West of Essex
34.5794°N, 115.4633°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of March 2030
Mar 05, 2030 11:54:32 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.5 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
100.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
30828h 57m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
1ef6d78e74b60a4c0c2084483efeba6dc5f45112216545b53b5fe58319cfaa6a
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-34.58--115.46-t10989
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 28, 2026 22:57:29 PST
Source Batch
20260829_145837_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-28 22:57:30.387180+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2030-03-05 11:54:32.621000+00:00 2030-03-05T11:54:32.621
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-28 22:57:29.815551+00:00 2026-08-29T22:26:18.452449+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
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