Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M4.8
8.7 miles South-East of Trona
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.7 miles South-East of Trona
35.6585°N, 117.2957°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of November 2028
Nov 08, 2028 18:17:16 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.8
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.8 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
85.7
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
19267h 19m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
31d7b9ee9b1e5e188c37bb9c21d4a3b74b0d45f38c5ec30c7111710d2e744c8c
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-35.66--117.30-t10748
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 28, 2026 22:57:29 PST
Source Batch
20260829_145837_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-28 22:57:30.387180+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2028-11-08 18:17:16.813000+00:00 2028-11-08T18:17:16.813
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-28 22:57:29.815551+00:00 2026-08-29T22:26:18.452449+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
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