Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.0
21.9 miles South-East of Pahrump Junction
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
21.9 miles South-East of Pahrump Junction
35.7414°N, 115.7747°W
Forecast Time Window
30th of November 2027
Nov 30, 2027 15:59:14 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.7 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
75.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
11257h 16m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
0fb80ffd5257be528060ebc2ff45d2f7121f048d0d6bb52531bd2cb78c40a885
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-35.74--115.77-t10576
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 18, 2026 14:42:20 PST
Source Batch
20260829_145837_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-18 14:42:21.618085+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 20, 2026 13:46 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-11-30 15:59:14.093000+00:00 2027-11-30T15:59:14.093
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 20, 2026 13:46 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-20T20:46:18.836314+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 02:14 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-11-30 15:59:14.093000+00:00 2027-11-30T15:59:14.093
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 02:14 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-21T09:14:20.941983+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 06:38 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-11-30 15:59:14.093000+00:00 2027-11-30T15:59:14.093
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 06:38 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-21T13:38:58.624522+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 00:16 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-22T07:16:01.550631+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 00:16 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-11-30 15:59:14.093000+00:00 2027-11-30T15:59:14.093
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 04:40 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-22T11:40:33.275831+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 04:40 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-11-30 15:59:14.093000+00:00 2027-11-30T15:59:14.093
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 09:01 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-22T16:01:53.765354+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 09:01 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-11-30 15:59:14.093000+00:00 2027-11-30T15:59:14.093
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 15:57 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
depth_km 13.7105 7.2307
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 15:57 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-11-30 15:59:14.093000+00:00 2027-11-30T15:59:14.093
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 15:57 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-28T22:57:29.815551+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
depth_km 13.7105 7.2307
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-11-30 15:59:14.093000+00:00 2027-11-30T15:59:14.093
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-29T22:26:18.452449+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
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