Permanent Prediction Record
◯
Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.4
10.5 miles North of Primm
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.5 miles North of Primm
35.7630°N, 115.3937°W
Forecast Time Window
16th of January 2029
Jan 16, 2029 13:56:53 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.5 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
33.3
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
20930h 45m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
fcb3ee021f27466fca83d286c969eadf8cff4fb402835aa769b7e7ce859f1315
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-35.76--115.39-t10782
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 28, 2026 11:11:42 PST
Source Batch
20260828_034215_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-28 11:11:43.213695+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

View Track Record Live Predictions