Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.1
8.2 miles North-West of Parkfield
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.2 miles North-West of Parkfield
35.9790°N, 120.5405°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of February 2028
Feb 07, 2028 11:38:50 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
12703h 39m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
25a0bb1fcad88e2499fd211cf6d5beddeff2daf737566d1286746933dafe8143
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-35.98--120.54-t10610
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 27, 2026 03:58:55 PST
Source Batch
20260826_203910_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-06 22:19:27.496612+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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