Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
21.6 miles South of Tracy
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
21.6 miles South of Tracy
37.4331°N, 121.3460°W
Forecast Time Window
30th of August 2026
Aug 30, 2026 13:12:22 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.4 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
25.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
26h 30m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
16ade4bb59ef78d25bee5635754e04981880af746da6f6facc63a1aca7d0a8dd
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-37.43--121.35-t10347
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 29, 2026 10:41:50 PST
Source Batch
20260829_064257_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-29 10:41:51.520523+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-08-30 13:12:22.816000+00:00 2026-08-30T18:56:05.005
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-29 10:41:50.855421+00:00 2026-08-29T22:26:18.452449+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
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