Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
18.1 miles South-West of Hawthorne NV
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
18.1 miles South-West of Hawthorne NV
38.3647°N, 118.8900°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of September 2026
Sep 07, 2026 09:10:41 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.0 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
55.6
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
282h 17m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
160425c5e7fdd08ca80f00019f53ea2a83540333db3dcf8b99ddd35655a486ab
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-38.36--118.89-t10351
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 26, 2026 14:53:12 PST
Source Batch
20260827_071851_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-26 14:53:13.455824+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 27, 2026 09:04 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-26 14:53:12.962207+00:00 2026-08-27T16:04:28.186633+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 09:04 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-07 09:10:41.019000+00:00 2026-09-07T09:10:41.019
"pipeline re-ingest"
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