Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M4.4
0.9 miles West of Coleville
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
0.9 miles West of Coleville
38.5008°N, 119.4564°W
Forecast Time Window
21st of July 2030
Jul 21, 2030 03:13:45 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.5 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
50.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
34144h 2m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
6965867636cdcd29bef2975137c12fb30f71af535e716f1c3a92f275e685ed6b
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-38.50--119.46-t11058
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 28, 2026 11:11:42 PST
Source Batch
20260828_034215_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-28 11:11:43.213695+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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