Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
14.8 miles West of Duckwater
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
14.8 miles West of Duckwater
38.8364°N, 115.9719°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of October 2026
Oct 02, 2026 10:57:49 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.9 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
10.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
839h 46m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
5057802ae339f046d52d53c1e0490a3ede7d18cae8bfd9d716f5241c0eb4588a
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-38.84--115.97-t10364
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 28, 2026 11:11:42 PST
Source Batch
20260827_230634_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-28 11:11:43.213695+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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