Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
8.2 miles North of Smith Valley
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.2 miles North of Smith Valley
38.9351°N, 119.3236°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of September 2026
Sep 27, 2026 10:36:23 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.8 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
50.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
707h 38m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
27649ff9d63465239f30218b5f2174d7dd4dc663fb42e0e1e70947b43b3ee355
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-38.94--119.32-t10361
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 28, 2026 22:57:29 PST
Source Batch
20260828_105245_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-28 22:57:30.387180+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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