Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
13.6 miles East of Potter Valley
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.6 miles East of Potter Valley
39.3822°N, 122.8656°W
Forecast Time Window
30th of August 2026
Aug 30, 2026 20:38:32 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.7 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
66.7
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
106h 44m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
2f0eba555de86a760e34a5b9032a7cd0407464b89adc2ae4ab9a534b7b385ddd
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-39.38--122.87-t10347
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 26, 2026 09:53:46 PST
Source Batch
20260827_114456_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-26 09:53:52.269252+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 26, 2026 12:15 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-26 09:53:46.801826+00:00 2026-08-26T19:15:42.718503+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 26, 2026 12:15 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-08-30 20:38:32.427000+00:00 2026-08-30T20:38:32.427
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 26, 2026 16:37 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-26 09:53:46.801826+00:00 2026-08-26T23:37:30.295815+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 26, 2026 16:37 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-08-30 20:38:32.427000+00:00 2026-08-30T20:38:32.427
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 26, 2026 20:58 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-26 09:53:46.801826+00:00 2026-08-27T03:58:55.045925+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 26, 2026 20:58 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-08-30 20:38:32.427000+00:00 2026-08-30T20:38:32.427
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 04:38 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-26 09:53:46.801826+00:00 2026-08-27T11:38:38.609737+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 04:38 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-08-30 20:38:32.427000+00:00 2026-08-30T20:38:32.427
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 04:38 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-26 09:53:46.801826+00:00 2026-08-27T11:38:38.609737+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 04:38 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-08-30 20:38:32.427000+00:00 2026-08-30T20:38:32.427
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 09:04 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-26 09:53:46.801826+00:00 2026-08-27T16:04:28.186633+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 09:04 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
latitude 39.3822 39.383
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 09:04 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-08-30 20:38:32.427000+00:00 2026-08-30T20:38:32.427
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 13:30 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-26 09:53:46.801826+00:00 2026-08-27T20:30:34.725446+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 27, 2026 13:30 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-08-30 20:38:32.427000+00:00 2026-08-30T20:38:32.427
"pipeline re-ingest"
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