Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.7
20.0 miles North-West of Ruth
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
20.0 miles North-West of Ruth
39.4737°N, 115.2453°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of August 2026
Aug 29, 2026 03:38:44 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
12.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
770h 5m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
330.3 km
205.3 km over 125 km limit
Time Error
6.6 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.00
Predicted M3.7 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
17.0 km
Pred. 12.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
9ad666061c962a84cb79e96d3944da27be68fbe05683f5a76aa672051d6864e3
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-39.47--115.25-t10347
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 28, 2026 01:33:35 PST
Source Batch
20260727_133753_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-28 01:33:35.510631+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.