Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.0
11.5 miles North-West of Lovelock
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.5 miles North-West of Lovelock
40.3272°N, 118.5735°W
Forecast Time Window
21st of December 2026
Dec 21, 2026 13:41:11 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.7 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
10.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
3011h 49m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
4a2ccd84a0d428594f6fc0ddd9c1089a74261eb3794b96f67774561131fb3565
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-40.33--118.57-t10404
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 18, 2026 01:52:07 PST
Source Batch
20260828_034215_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-18 01:52:08.440284+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 18, 2026 23:23 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-19T06:23:21.108063+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 18, 2026 23:23 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-12-21 13:41:11.373000+00:00 2026-12-21T13:41:11.373
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 11:02 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-12-21 13:41:11.373000+00:00 2026-12-21T13:41:11.373
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 11:02 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-21T18:02:47.898807+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-12-21 13:41:11.373000+00:00 2026-12-21T13:41:11.373
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-21T22:26:41.071424+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 13:23 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-22T20:23:01.304599+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 13:23 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-12-21 13:41:11.373000+00:00 2026-12-21T13:41:11.373
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 17:44 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-23T00:44:09.780427+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 17:44 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-12-21 13:41:11.373000+00:00 2026-12-21T13:41:11.373
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 04:11 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
depth_km 13.7105 6.507149999999999
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 04:11 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-28T11:11:42.622022+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 04:11 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-12-21 13:41:11.373000+00:00 2026-12-21T13:41:11.373
"pipeline re-ingest"
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