Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.1
52.3 miles South-West of Eureka
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
52.3 miles South-West of Eureka
40.3890°N, 125.0000°W
Forecast Time Window
16th of April 2028
Apr 16, 2028 07:18:27 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
25.4 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
64.7
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
14573h 26m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
2df5c018d52aa2dbee4db51f5947216fae4795a1ce942992294bfa28a1ccde20
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-40.39--125.00-t10645
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 18, 2026 01:52:07 PST
Source Batch
20260829_145837_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-18 01:52:08.440284+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 21, 2026 02:14 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2028-04-16 07:18:27.181000+00:00 2028-04-16T07:18:27.181
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 02:14 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-21T09:14:20.941983+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 02:14 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
latitude 40.389 40.3948
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 02:14 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
longitude -125.0 -125
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 15:57 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
latitude 40.389 40.3948
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 15:57 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
depth_km 25.359 6.507149999999999
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 15:57 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2028-04-16 07:18:27.181000+00:00 2028-04-16T07:18:27.181
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 15:57 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
longitude -125.0 -125
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 28, 2026 15:57 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-28T22:57:29.815551+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
latitude 40.389 40.3948
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
depth_km 25.359 6.507149999999999
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2028-04-16 07:18:27.181000+00:00 2028-04-16T07:18:27.181
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
longitude -125.0 -125
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 15:26 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 01:52:07.342403+00:00 2026-08-29T22:26:18.452449+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
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