Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending
Prediction Pending
This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
13.9 miles South-West of Eureka
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.9 miles South-West of Eureka
40.6649°N, 124.3591°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of October 2026
Oct 04, 2026 23:08:32 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.8 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
76.5
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
888h 11m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
9608f66ec319493432b254c2a245e694d970286f02aa1582fb0e4f2dec6b2ebe
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-40.66--124.36-t10365
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 28, 2026 22:57:29 PST
Source Batch
20260828_223425_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-28 22:57:30.387180+00:00
Amendment History
event_time
2026-10-04 23:08:32.523000+00:00
2026-10-04T23:08:32.523
"pipeline re-ingest"
longitude
-124.3591
-124.3582
"pipeline re-ingest"
run_tag
2026-08-28 22:57:29.815551+00:00
2026-08-29T10:41:50.855421+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"