Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M4.7
0.7 miles North-East of Trinidad
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
0.7 miles North-East of Trinidad
41.0657°N, 124.1344°W
Forecast Time Window
22nd of September 2027
Sep 22, 2027 20:19:37 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
16.5 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
75.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
9605h 37m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
9ff8300e47ec0e5ff19d6a0bfb9d62d2213d97fb1e42d468e4c32994bd9c2d57
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-41.07--124.13-t10541
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 18, 2026 14:42:20 PST
Source Batch
20260829_031352_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-18 14:42:21.618085+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 19, 2026 12:44 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 19, 2026 12:44 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-19T19:44:50.656498+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 20, 2026 01:17 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-20T08:17:02.330699+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 20, 2026 01:17 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 20, 2026 13:46 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 20, 2026 13:46 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-20T20:46:18.836314+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 06:38 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 06:38 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-21T13:38:58.624522+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 19:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 21, 2026 19:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-22T02:51:29.284577+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 00:16 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-22T07:16:01.550631+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 00:16 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 04:40 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-22T11:40:33.275831+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 04:40 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 09:01 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-22T16:01:53.765354+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 22, 2026 09:01 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 03:41 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
depth_km 16.4922 9.5116
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 03:41 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2027-09-22 20:19:37.549000+00:00 2027-09-22T20:19:37.549
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 29, 2026 03:41 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-18 14:42:20.366578+00:00 2026-08-29T10:41:50.855421+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
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